MARKET TIMING 
By The Number 56

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CONTENTS

Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION 1
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Chapter 2 THE 56 YEAR SEQUENCES 6
2.1   11 Principal 56 Year Sequences 7
2.2   Sub-Cycles in Multiples of 9 Years 11
2.3   Lesser 56 Year Sequences 15
2.4   Artifact Sub-Cycles 17
2.5   US Peaks & Troughs 19
2.6   The 56 Year Cycle: Other Countries 21
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Chapter 3 ENGLAND: 1555-1800 25
3.1   56 Year Sequences In The 17th Century 25
3.2   Early Lesser 56 Year Sequences 28
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Chapter 4 BUSINESS CYCLES 30
4.1   The Kondratieff Wave 30
4.2   Mass Psychology 34
4.3   The 56 Year Sequences & War 35
4.4   The Kondratieff Wave & Gold 37
4.5   Kondratieff Wave Extrapolations 40
4.6   Long Cycles: Their Proposed Causes 43
4.7   Links Between Major/Minor Cycles 44
4.8   Taming The Business Cycle 45

4.9   US Equities & The Long Term Trend

 47
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Chapter 5 THE GREAT WAVE 53
5.1   Structure of The Great Wave 53
5.2   Causal Mechanisms 55
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Chapter 6 THE PROPOSED 36 YEAR SUB-CYCLES 58
6.1   The 36 YSC Series 3 & 4 58
6.2   Artifact 10 & 20 Year Sub-Cycles 59
6.3   Artifact 13 Year Sub-Cycles 62
6.4   Artifact 8, 9, 10 Year Sub-Cycles 63
6.5   A Three Year Panic Cycle??? 63
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Chapter 7 THE BRENNER CYCLE 66
7.1   Structure of The Brenner Cycle 66
7.2   Links Between The Brenner and 56 Year Cycles 67
7.3   Causal Mechanisms   70
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Chapter 8 US MARKET VOLATILITY 72
8.1 Biggest DJIA One Day Rises & Falls 72
8.2 Top Months of US Market Volatility 73
8.3 US Stock Market Monthly Returns 75
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Chapter 9 PREDICTING FINANCIAL CRISES 78
9.1   The 11 Principal 56 Year Sequences 78
9.2   The 56 Year Sequences: 1980-2011 79
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Chapter 10 EARTHQUAKES & VOLCANOES 84
10.1 Earthquakes - USA & Canada 84
10.2 Earthquakes - Other Countries 88
10.3 A 56 Year Volcanic Cycle? 89
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Chapter 11 ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS 92
10.1   Calendar & Seasonal Effects 92
10.2   The Proposed 29 Day Effect 95
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Chapter 12 IN SUMMARY 103
Appendix 1
Appendix 2
Appendix 3
Appendix 4
Appendix 5
Appendix 6
Appendix 7

MAJOR US & WN EUROPEAN FINANCIAL CRISES: Kindleberger (1996)             
OTHER LISTINGS OF FINANCIAL CRISES                                   
FINANCIAL CRISES ACCORDING TO SOURCE              
THE 36 YSC & LISTINGS OF FINANCIAL CRISES                                                      
LISTINGS OF EARLY FINANCIAL CRISES:1555-1800   
DJIA ONE DAY FALLS => 3.20%: 1915 to 2000                        
MAJOR QUAKES IN AUSTRALIA, NZ & WN E EUROPE                                            

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