APPENDIX 13

MAJOR JAPANESE EARTHQUAKES: 1890 - 2003

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Appendix for the paper 9/56 Year Cycles: Earthquakes & Volcanoes.


Table B of this appendix gives the major Japanese earthquakes since 1890 and was sourced from the National Geophysical Data Center.
Of the 65 major Japanese earthquakes (mag => 7.50) since 1890, 22 took place in the 11 months ended December 15 of those years in Table A, figure that was marginally significant at p < .05. Throughout this analysis p < .01 was preferred, but the findings for Japan were still of great interest. 

 

Table A        9/56 YEAR PATTERNS &  MAJOR JAPANESE QUAKES 

        Sq 52 Sq 05     Sq 32 Sq 41 Sq 50 Sq 03 Sq 12
               1895  1904
***

1913

1922

1931
**

1940
*

  1897
*****
1906
*
1915
**
1924 1933
**
1942 1951 1960

1969
**

1978
*

1987

1996

1944
*
1953
*
1962 1971 1980

1989

1998                     
2000
*
                       

The 56 year sequences in the table are separated by an interval of 9 years.
Years in bold contained the biggest Japanese earthquakes in the 11 months ended December 15 of those years in the table. 
Source of Raw Data: National Geophysical Data Centre


Of the total 65 Japanese earthquakes listed in Table B, 13 occurred in only 6 of the 56 year sequences (Sqs 16, 25, 34, 43, 52 & 05), whereas 6.4 could have been expected by chance. Additionally, 8 occurred in the three months - January to March - compared to the 1.7 that may have been anticipated. There were four Japanese earthquakes with a record magnitude of 8.7, of which one happened in these 6 56 year sequences - (August 5, 1897). Some other lists gave the March 3, 1933 Sanriku quake as being 8.9 in magnitude, thereby being the record quake for Japan during the 20th century and also falling within the 6 56 year sequences.

Sq 16 Sq 25 Sq 34 Sq 43 Sq 52 Sq 05
  1897
*****
1906
*
1915
**
1924 1933
**
1944
*
1953
*
1962 1971 1980

1989

2000
*
         


The 9/56 year cycles, that were most significant for Japan, were very similar to the comparable seismic patterns noted for California/Nevada/Baja California. Curiously, of the total 27 listed since 1800,
9 major quakes in California – Nevada – Baja California happened in only four 56 year sequences (Sqs 34, 43, 52 & 05). Within these four sequences, 7 quakes took place in the three months October to December, whereas only about 0.5 could have been expected by chance. The only exceptions were the April 18, 1906 San Francisco quake and the 1932 event (Cedar Mountain, Nevada. mag 7.2.). The latter happened on December 21, 1932, a year earlier than most of the other earthquakes. Importantly, these four sequences also experienced several record events. 
*          Sq 34 - The biggest northern Californian quake (San Francisco. mag 8.25. April 18, 1906).
*          Sq 43 - Record quake for Nevada (Pleasant Valley. mag 7.7. Oct 3, 1915). 
*          Sq 43 - Record quake for Baja California (Volcano Lake. mag 7.1. Nov 21, 1915).       
*          Sq 52 - Record quake for western USA. (Great Cascadia. mag 9.0. Jan 26, 1700)
*          Sq 52 - Record historic volcanic eruption in the western states (Mt St Helens, May 18, 1980).

Sq 34 Sq 43 Sq 52 Sq 05
   

1812
**

1821

1850

1859

1868
*

1877

1906
*
1915
**
1924 1933
*
1962 1971 1980
*

1989
*



Earthquakes falling preferentially in 9/56 year patterns will always correlate perfectly with the ecliptical position of the lunar north (ascending) node. This implies that 9/56 year seismic events arise due to Moon - Sun tidal effects. 


Table B            MAJOR HISTORIC JAPANESE EARTHQUAKES: 1890 TO 2003

Year

Mo

Dy

Location

Latitude

Longitude

Mag

1891

10

28

JAPAN

35.5

137

8.4

1894

3

22

OFF COAST OF HONSHU

42.5

146

8

1896

6

15

SANRIKU

39.6

144.2

7.6

1897

2

7

JAPAN

40

140

8.3

1897

2

19

JAPAN

38

142

8.3

1897

2

20

SENDAI

38.1

141.5

7.8

1897

8

5

SANRIKU

38

143

8.7

1897

8

16

JAPAN

39

143

7.9

1898

4

22

SANRIKU

39

142

8.3

1898

6

5

OFF E COAST HONSHU

38

143

8.7

1899

11

24

SEIKAIDO

32

131

7.8

1900

1

11

SEA OF JAPAN

36.5

133.5

7.8

1901

6

24

RYUKYU ISLANDS

27

130

7.9

1901

8

9

OFF E COAST HONSHU

40

144

7.9

1901

8

10

HACHINOHE

40.5

141.5

7.8

1904

3

18

HOKKAIDO

42.5

145.8

7.6

1904

6

7

SEA OF JAPAN

40

134

7.9

1904

8

24

KYUSHU

30

130

7.9

1905

6

2

AKI

34

132

7.9

1905

7

6

NEAR E COAST HONSHU

39.5

142.5

7.9

1905

9

1

HOKKAIDO

45

143

7.5

1906

1

21

NEAR S COAST HONSHU

34

138

8.4

1909

3

13

S OF HONSHU

31.5

142.5

8.3

1909

11

10

KYUSHU

32

131

7.9

1910

2

12

HONSHU: S OF

33

138.5

7.6

1910

5

22

HOKKAIDO

42

145

7.5

1911

6

15

RYUKYU ISLANDS

29

129

8.7

1914

11

24

VOLCANO ISLANDS

22

143

8.7

1915

2

28

SW RYUKYU ISLANDS

23.6

123.5

7.7

1915

11

1

NEAR E COAST HONSHU

39

142.5

7.8

1916

2

1

DUDA

29.5

131.5

8

1916

4

21

OFF E COAST HONSHU

33

141

7.8

1919

5

3

OFF E COAST HONSHU

40.5

145.5

7.6

1923

9

1

TOKYO,YOKOHAMA

35.3

139.5

7.9

1923

9

2

NEAR S COAST HONSHU

35

139.5

7.7

1926

6

29

RYUKYU ISLANDS

27

127

7.5

1927

3

7

HONSHU: SW

35.7

134.7

7.9

1931

3

9

NEAR E COAST HONSHU

40.5

142.5

7.7

1931

11

2

KYUSHU

32

131.5

7.5

1933

3

2

HONSHU: E COAST

39.2

144.5

8.4

1933

3

3

SANRIKU

39.1

144.7

8.3

1938

6

10

SW RYUKYU ISLANDS

25.5

125

7.7

1938

11

5

NEAR E COAST HONSHU

36.7

141.7

7.7

1938

11

6

OFF E COAST HONSHU

37.2

142.2

7.6

1940

8

1

EASTERN SEA OF JAPAN

44.3

139.5

7.7

1941

11

18

SHIKOKU

32

132

7.9

1944

12

7

TOKKAIDO

33.7

136.2

8.1

1946

12

20

HONSHU

32.5

134.5

8.4

1946

12

21

NANKAIDO

33

135.6

8.2

1950

2

28

HOKKAIDO

45.6

143.5

7.8

1952

3

4

HOKKAIDO

42.5

143

8.1

1953

11

25

KASHIMA

33.9

141.5

8.3

1958

3

11

SW RYUKYU ISLANDS

25.5

125

7.5

1968

4

1

SEIKADO, KYUSHU, SHIKOKU

32.5

132.3

7.8

1968

5

16

JAPAN TRENCH

40.8

143.2

7.9

1968

6

12

SANRIKU

39.5

142.7

7.8

1968

10

7

BONIN ISLANDS

26.3

140.6

7.5

1969

1

19

HOKKAIDO

45

143.2

7.6

1969

8

11

HOKKAIDO: SHIKOTAN

43.5

147.4

8.2

1978

6

12

NEAR E COAST HONSHU

38.2

142

7.7

1983

5

26

HONSHU: AKITA

40.462

139.102

7.7

1993

7

12

HOKKAIDO; RUSSIA: SOUTHEAST; SOUTH KOREA

42.851

139.197

7.7

1994

12

28

HONSHU

40.525

143.419

7.5

2000

3

28

VOLCANO ISLANDS

22.338

143.73

7.6

2003

9

25

HOKKAIDO

41.815

143.91

8.3

Years in bold contained the biggest Japanese earthquakes in the 11 months ended December 15 of those years in the table.
Source: National Geophysical Data Centre. Parameters: Japan. 1890 to 2003. Mag: 7.5 to 9.9. An earthquake is only entered once in this table. Several quakes were given twice or more in the NGDC listing.


1662.06.16 Lake Biwa, Japan 880 XI-XII 7.2-7.6*
1703.12.31 Oshima, Japan 10,367 XI-XII 7.9-8.2* Tsunami 
1704.05.27 Akita, Japan 58 XI-XII 6.8-7.0* 
1707.10.28 Kii Peninsula, Japan 5,038 XII 8.4* Largest earthquake in Japan 
1718.08.22 Miko, Japan 63 IX-XI 6.4-7.0
1751.05.21 Takada, Japan 1,541 XI-XII 7.0-7.4* 
1766.03.08 Aomori, Japan 1,278-1,700 XI-XII 6.9-7.2* 
1804.07.10 Kisagata, Japan 450 XI-XII 7.1* 
1810.09.25 Oga, Japan 59 XI-XII 6.6* 
1828.12.18 Niigata, Japan 1,681 XI-XII 6.9 
1847.05.08 Nagano, Japan 8,174 XI-XII 7.4* 
1854.07.09 Yokkaichi, Japan 1,308 IX-XI 7.2* 
1854.12.23 Tokai, Japan 2,000-3,000 XI-XII 8.4* 
1854.12.24 Nankai, Japan 3,000 IX-XI 8.4* 

1855.11.07 Fukuda, Japan XI-XII 7.0-7.5* 
1858.04.09 Toyama, Japan 426 IX-XI 7.0-7.1* 
1872.03.14 Hamada, Japan 555 XI-XII 7.1*