David McMinn


Welcome to the world’s first web site to promote the Moon Sun hypothesis and the 9/56 year panic cycle found in US and Western European economic history.

Most major US financial panics fell in the 9/56 year cycle, including the upheavals of 1792, 1819, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1884, 1893, 1920, 1929, 1931, 1933, 1980, 1987 and 2007. Such trends, in turn, are firmly based on Moon Sun cycles, a finding that has been fully covered in two market timing books (see subsequently).

This is a unique view of the business cycle, which hopefully you will find both informative and penetrating.

Two books on market timing are available via this web site. A third book is currently being completed and will be the last in the series. I have spent years studying the Moon Sun hypothesis and it is time to explore other interests. 

The following papers are presented for your interest
to give you an outline of the 9/56 year cycle and the Moon Sun effect in financial activity & earthquakes.

Corrections and research suggestions most appreciated.

The 9/56 Year Cycle - Finance

Financial Crises & The Number 56

The Moon, The Sun & The Number 56


Moon Sun Influences In Financial Activity

Lunar Phase & DJIA Highs

Lunar Phase & DJIA Lows

The Great Crash of 2008

2007: US Bear Market?,

Lunar Phase & DJIA AOD Falls,

Moon Sun Parallels: The Great Panics of 1929 & 1987

The Benner Cycle, The Fibonaccis & The Number 56 


The 9/56 Year Cycle - Earthquakes

9/56 Year Cycle: Seasonality & Earthquakes  

9/56 Year Cycle: Earthquakes & Volcanoes
 
9/56 Year Earthquake Cycles: California

9/56 Year Earthquake Cycles: Alaska

9/56 Year Volcanic Cycles: Hawaii & Alaska

9/56 Year Cycle: Record Quakes in the 50 US States
 

Numerology

Names & Electoral Success

Archaeoastronomy

Economics

Inefficient vs Efficient Market Hypothesis?

Moon Sun Finance: A New Paradigm?

Planned Obsolescence: The Ultimate Economic Inefficiency

Academic References On Moon Sun Finance

Man & Cosmos. A Theory of Endeavor Rhythms
Clifford, Charles Matlock. Development Cycles Research Project. 1977

Are Investors Moonstruck? Lunar Phase & Stock Returns
Kathy Yuan et al. University of Michigan. 2001

Lunar Cycle Effects In Stock Returns
Ilia Dichev & Troy James. University of Michigan. 2001

Market Lunacy
Burrell, Lisa. Harvard Business Rev. Nov 2006.


Other Influences In The Stock Market

Sunny Day Effect
Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns & Weather
David Hirshleifer & Tyler Shumway. University of Michigan. 2001

Seasonal Affective Disorder
Winter Blues: A SAD Stock Market Cycle
Mark Kamstra, Lisa Kramer & Maurice Levi. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
American Economic Review. 2003. March, 93 (1), 324-343.

Geomagnetic Storms
Playing the Field: Geomagnetic Storms & International Stock Markets
Anna Krivelyova & Cesare Robotti. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. 2003

Daylight Savings Anomaly
Losing Sleep At The Market: Daylight Savings Anomaly
Mark Kamstra, Lisa Kramer & Maurice Levi.
American Economic Review. 2000. 90 (4), Sept, 1005-1011.

Temperature
Stock Market Returns: A note on temperature anomaly.
Cao, Melanie & Wei, Jason. 
Journal of Banking and Finance. 29 (2005). 1559 - 1573.

Moon Sun Influences & Earthquakes

Planetary Configuration: Implications For Earthquake Prediction
N Venkatanathan, N Rajeshwara Rao et al. 2004 
Department of Applied Geology, University of Madras

Tidal Effects on Tectonic Events
Jeremy D Pesicek. 
Department of Physics & Physical Oceanography. University of North Carolina

On the reality of the 56-year cycle and the increased probability of large earthquakes for Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskii during the period 2008–2011 according to lunar cyclicity.
A A Gusev. Journal of Volcanology and Seismology. Vol 2. No 6. pp 424-434. Dec 2008


THE MOON SUN HYPOTHESIS - BACKGROUND

In 1984, I read with great interest David Williams’ book Financial Astrology. It proved highly stimulating and set me on a course of studying the business cycle. After much research, Williams’ work was found to be invalid. Although fascinating, the larger planets in the solar system could not be correlated with the timing of major financial crises or the business cycle generally. Thus, Williams' findings were negated as having any practical use in market forecasting. However, what did stand out was his coverage of J M Funk’s 56 year panic cycle. This consisted of three sequences, in which major US financial crises happened every 56 years. In the 100 years to 1930, these three sequences contained 6 years, in which occurred five of the worst panics in US economic history. Truly amazing! Ensuing assessments found that financial distress occurred quite regularly in patterns based on multiples of 9 and 56 years. 

Although a 9/56 year panic cycle was clearly evident, a causal factor precipitating this repetitive cycle could not be readily established. Major crashes and panics took place every 56 years - but why???? Traditional astrology was the initial area favoured, but it offered no satisfaction. No relationships could be proven between the planets and the 9/56 year panic cycle. Numerous other traditional factors were considered, such as sunspots and eclipses (as distinct from eclipse cycles), but these were equally unsuccessful. Finally, I noticed that, on the same date every 56 years, the Moon’s north node was sited only three degrees further clockwise on the ecliptical circle. This was very intriguing and ultimately proved to be a gold mine for further analysis. Follow up research established numerous Moon Sun correlates with the 9/56 year cycle, major financial upheavals and peaks/toughs in the Dow Jones Industrial Average index.

The mass mood of a population is postulated to oscillate between optimism (a rising market) and fear (a falling market) in accordance with Moon Sun cycles. The crisis occurs when there is a sudden shift in sentiment from greed to fear. How these cycles actually function remains a great unknown and accurate market forecasting cannot be made from the findings achieved to date. This was very frustrating and I feel my efforts have been only partly successful. Hopefully, other cycle enthusiasts will take up the challenge where I have left off. If I had been able to unravel the 9/56 year cycle completely, the market timing books would never have been published. Having this vital information would be a license to print money through market speculation and fame as an investment guru. 

How well the 9/56 year panic cycle and the Moon Sun hypothesis holds up to the test of time remains to be seen. It needs to be assessed by others in further studies and thereby vindicated or negated. It will be very interesting to see the outcome of this process. Given the radical nature of the 9/56 year cycle, conservative elements in economics and the sciences will denigrate or simply ignore this theory, regardless of its intrinsic worth. So be it. Such responses are always evident in the face of radical theories that contradict the dominant paradigms. Alas, conservatives are always slow learners. By definition, they cannot cope with new ideas, not even good new ideas. 

My work on Moon Sun cycles have been published by the following:

*     Australian Technical Analysts Association.

*    The Technical Analyst (UK).

*     Society of Technical Analysts (UK).

*    Technical Securities Analysts Association (USA).

*    The Foundation For The Study Of Cycles (USA).

*    American Federation of Astrologers (USA).

*    Federation of Australian Astrologers. 

*    The International Society for Astrological Research (USA).

*    Centre Universitaire de Recherche en Astrologie (France).

"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act". — George Orwell