Most major US financial panics fell in the 9/56 year cycle, including the upheavals of 1792, 1819, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1884, 1893, 1920, 1929, 1931, 1933, 1980, 1987, 1998 and 2007. Such trends, in turn, are firmly based on Moon Sun cycles, a finding that has been covered extensively in three market timing books. This is a unique view of the business cycle, which hopefully you will find both informative and penetrating. Since 2003, numerous academic papers have been published on a lunar phase effect in financial patterns (refs). It not a question of whether the Moon and Sun influence market activity, but to what extent. Numerous correlates can be produced to support an intimate relationship between Moon Sun cycles and market outcomes. The
9/56 year cycle was also found to be applicable to the timing of
earthquakes (eg: California and Chile)
and hurricanes. In fact any event that
is strongly influenced by Moon Sun tidal effects should produce an
asymmetric distribution in the 9/56 year grid pattern.
Three books on Moon Sun market timing are available via this web site.
Corrections and research suggestions
are most
appreciated.
Fibonacci - Lucas Numbers,
Lunisolar Cycles & Financial Markets US
Security Threats, the DJIA and Lunar Phase
DJIA
Peaks, Seasonality and Market Outcomes
60 Year Intervals & October Panics The
papers published in the NCGT Journal may be downloaded from ncgt.org 9/56
Year Cycle: 18th and 19th Century World Earthquakes Financial
Cycles: A Key to Deciphering Seismic Cycles?
9/56 Year Cycle:
Hurricanes
Moon
Sun Parallels: The Great Panics of 1929 & 1987
Moon
Sun Finance: References in Technical Analysis
Market
Lunacy
The
9/56
Year Cycle - Earthquakes 9/56 Year Cycle: Earthquakes & Volcanoes 54/56
Year Cycle: 2011 & 2012 Mega Quakes
9/56 Year Cycle: Record US Quakes Moon Sun Seismology Academic References
US
Presidential Deaths, Seasonality and Lunar Phase
Planned Obsolescence: The Ultimate Economic Inefficiency Financial
Paradigms Sunny
Day
Effect Seasonal
Affective Disorder
Daylight
Savings Anomaly Temperature
In
1984, I read with great interest David Williams’ book Financial Astrology. It proved highly stimulating and set me on a
course of studying the business cycle. After much research, Williams’
work was found to be invalid. Although fascinating, the larger planets in
the solar system could not be correlated with the timing of major
financial crises or the business cycle generally. Thus, Williams' findings
were negated as having any practical use in market forecasting. However, what
did stand out was his coverage of J M Funk’s 56 year panic cycle. This
consisted of three sequences, in which major US financial crises happened
every 56 years. In the 100 years to 1930, these three sequences contained
6 years, in which occurred five of the worst panics in US economic history
- 1837, 1857, 1873, 1893 & 1929. Amazing! Ensuing assessments found that financial distress
occurred
quite regularly in grid patterns based
on multiples of 9 and 56 years. The basic hypothesis is that the Moon and Sun activate human physiological cycles (there are numerous scientific studies to support this), which influence the mass mood and thus drive financial activity. The mass mood of a population is postulated to oscillate between optimism (a rising market) and fear (a falling market) in accordance with Moon Sun cycles. The crisis occurs when there is a sudden shift in sentiment from greed to fear. The mathematics involved in these cycles remain unknown and accurate market forecasting cannot be made from the findings achieved to date. This was very frustrating and I feel my efforts have been only partly successful. Hopefully, other cycle enthusiasts will take up the challenge where I have left off. If I had been able to unravel the Moon Sun effect completely, the market timing books would never have been published. Having this vital information would be a license to print money through market speculation and fame as an investment guru. How well the 9/56 year panic cycle and the Moon Sun hypothesis hold up to the test of time remains to be seen. They need to be assessed by others in further studies and thereby vindicated or negated. It will be very interesting to see the outcome of this process. Given the radical nature of the Moon Sun effect, conservative elements in economics and the sciences will denigrate or simply ignore this theory, regardless of its intrinsic worth. So be it. Such responses are always evident in the face of radical theories that contradict the dominant paradigms. Alas, conservatives are always slow learners. By definition, they cannot cope with new ideas, not even good new ideas.
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